Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 873.899305 990.732928 1122.145121 1281.841269 1471.919192 1692.493077 1970.122684
2025-02-02 715.791039 869.926415 1059.905978 1315.073930 1654.759150 2100.182033 2743.664326
2025-02-09 628.709826 796.825623 1016.008927 1329.755343 1779.509730 2421.181491 3445.833759
2025-02-16 558.537551 731.223288 966.483942 1320.895283 1860.930596 2688.826074 4133.662101
2025-02-23 518.542852 698.808324 954.333109 1357.825851 2009.130559 3079.843907 5123.679925
2025-03-02 486.960900 673.177477 946.602172 1397.155980 2164.292098 3512.127040 6323.215498
2025-03-09 454.242217 641.506146 924.784119 1409.000393 2272.990580 3884.655497 7535.616407
2025-03-16 421.225817 605.613590 891.636776 1396.117066 2333.736457 4178.559311 8688.095712
2025-03-23 400.251235 586.046587 881.781146 1420.683770 2466.447479 4646.270137 10448.034456
2025-03-30 368.833834 546.980692 835.734673 1374.283803 2452.479697 4797.630787 11456.956895
2025-04-06 342.086162 513.284169 795.453407 1333.213621 2441.913578 4953.680726 12554.697413
2025-04-13 316.816335 480.122488 753.155927 1283.278533 2404.545313 5037.975520 13480.436703
2025-04-20 309.137382 476.469521 763.137871 1337.891954 2609.191810 5793.327065 17148.313500
2025-04-27 298.151392 466.372469 760.807282 1368.250664 2767.430531 6487.484328 21195.723569
2025-05-04 286.329730 453.756500 752.429575 1384.633926 2895.665289 7143.255654 25709.946461
2025-05-11 272.307314 436.165451 733.084630 1375.122623 2958.173939 7626.577175 29947.408918
2025-05-18 265.243137 430.502795 735.852262 1414.054245 3153.956248 8615.368513 38115.031996
2025-05-25 258.884753 425.600030 739.542395 1455.488323 3366.639729 9762.525470 49175.954792
2025-06-01 249.905607 415.157526 731.228184 1467.973320 3501.428613 10692.535720 60622.899458
2025-06-08 239.024050 400.402461 712.932995 1454.394557 3557.412406 11344.107654 71330.879163
2025-06-15 232.658829 393.840329 710.932241 1480.288497 3740.371287 12629.736320 91684.986611
2025-06-22 220.001083 374.355876 680.406041 1431.387542 3677.138646 12790.261125 100370.249554
2025-06-29 208.712518 356.960371 653.170087 1388.124154 3625.152400 12992.250687 110550.879763